Language:English
Chase Hooper v Lance Gibson Jr
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chase Hooper (Local)
Prediction 73.02%1.37fair odd
EV -0.692%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%72.92%73.26%74.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.91%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lance Gibson Jr (Visit)
Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%27.08%26.74%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.403.8532.26%29.04%29.41%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chase Hooper (Local): 73.02%; Lance Gibson Jr (Visit): 26.98%. For Lance Gibson Jr (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.87%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +3.87%E +1.01%K +1.36%G +0.053% | 3.5% | 2026-03-27 18:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV +2.25%E +0.594%K +0.807%G +0.018% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.17%E +0.312%K +0.426%G +0.005% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +1.17%E +0.312%K +0.426%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.64%EV -4.34%E -3.32%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.36%EV -1.26%E -0.343%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.32%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.32%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 12:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.34%E -3.32%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.03%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 10:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.34%E -3.32%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.70%EV -1.42%E -1.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-27 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 22:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.34%E -3.32%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 02:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 02:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.42%E -1.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 01:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.692%E -0.509%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.36%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 04:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.692%E -0.509%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.36%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 04:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.692%E -0.509%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -16.36%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.36% | -0.2% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.18% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 10:50 |