Language:English
Charles Johnson v Bruno Silva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charles Johnson (Local)
Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -0.645%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%61.72%61.88%63.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6166.67%64.69%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bruno Silva (Visit)
Prediction 38.29%2.61fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.695%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.06%38.28%38.12%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6643.48%40.27%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charles Johnson (Local): 61.71%; Bruno Silva (Visit): 38.29%. For Bruno Silva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV +1.85%E +0.695%K +1.11%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.47%E +0.553%K +0.888%G +0.013% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.449%E -0.173%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.449%E -0.173%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.36%E -0.927%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.13%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.88%E -1.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.04%E -2.03%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.19%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.19%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -0.645%E -0.401%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.26%E -0.789%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.87%E -3.73%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.82%E -4.51%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 00:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.88%E -1.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.94%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | -0.0% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |