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Chamy Delva v Levan Khabalaev

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 20:42 UTC

Final: Chamy Delva 0–1 Levan Khabalaev

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chamy Delva (Local)

Prediction 12.52%7.99fair odd
EV +0.139%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.020%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.99%12.52%12.52%18.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.286.058.0019.61%15.92%16.53%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levan Khabalaev (Visit)

Prediction 87.48%1.14fair odd
EV +0.605%
Edge +0.526%
Kelly +4.03%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.60%87.48%87.48%88.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.89%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chamy Delva (Local): 12.52%; Levan Khabalaev (Visit): 87.48%. For Levan Khabalaev (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.605%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -36.16%E -7.09%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +0.605%E +0.526%K +4.03%G +0.024%6.6%2026-07-31 17:09
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -36.16%E -7.09%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +0.605%E +0.526%K +4.03%G +0.024%6.6%2026-07-31 17:09
Bally Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -36.16%E -7.09%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +0.605%E +0.526%K +4.03%G +0.024%6.6%2026-07-31 17:09
FanDuel🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -7.37%E -0.996%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -2.89%E -2.61%K -26.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-31 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.38%E -1.77%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.77%E -3.43%K -37.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.139%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.64%E -4.26%K -51.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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