The School of Odds
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Chamy Delva v Levan Khabalaev

2026-07-31 20:30 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chamy Delva (Local)

Prediction 15.75%6.35fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.453%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.53%15.75%15.75%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.405.306.2020.83%18.52%18.87%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levan Khabalaev (Visit)

Prediction 84.25%1.19fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -8.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%84.25%84.25%84.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.151.151.1788.50%86.71%86.58%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chamy Delva (Local): 15.75%; Levan Khabalaev (Visit): 84.25%. For Levan Khabalaev (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.17, with an expected value of -1.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -2.36%E -0.380%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.95%E -3.47%K -28.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 09:44
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.51%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.95%E -3.47%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.66%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.80%E -4.24%K -36.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 12:49
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -24.41%E -5.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -1.43%E -1.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:44
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -24.41%E -5.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -1.43%E -1.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:44
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -24.41%E -5.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -1.43%E -1.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.