The School of Odds

Chad Yard v Coby Bradford

2026-07-26 00:10 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chad Yard (Local)

Prediction 75.63%1.32fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -11.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.80%75.63%75.63%75.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.251.261.261.2880%79%79%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Coby Bradford (Visit)

Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -0.943%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%24.37%24.37%26.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.553.733.723.9528%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -3.73%E -0.943%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 10:04
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.48%E -3.80%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 10:05
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.48%E -3.80%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 10:05
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.48%E -3.80%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 10:05
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.