The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chad Anheliger v Steven Koslow

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 22:00 UTC

Final: Chad Anheliger 0–1 Steven Koslow

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chad Anheliger (Local)

Prediction 38.21%2.62fair odd
EV +0.115%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.071%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.46%38.29%41.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6244.44%40.30%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Steven Koslow (Visit)

Prediction 61.79%1.62fair odd
EV +0.715%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.52%61.54%61.71%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.541.541.6370.42%64.94%64.94%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chad Anheliger (Local): 38.21%; Steven Koslow (Visit): 61.79%. For Steven Koslow (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.715%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -12.11%E -5.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +0.715%E +0.439%K +1.13%G +0.008%4.8%2026-10-15 10:25
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.14%E -0.712%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 14:35
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -9.82%E -4.16%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -2.37%E -1.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.37%E -1.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 16:20
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.37%E -1.50%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 20:20
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.61%E -2.31%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-17 21:50
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.32%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.61%E -2.31%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.47%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.61%E -2.31%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 20:55
ReBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.71%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.47%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 21:35
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.94%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.47%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.649%E -0.250%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 21:23
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.649%E -0.250%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 21:55
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.41%E -0.548%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.47%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 21:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV +0.115%E +0.044%K +0.071%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -6.08%E -4.00%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 21:54
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.649%E -0.250%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.47%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 20:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.47%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.47%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 20:55
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -14.02%E -6.23%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.31%EV -12.26%E -8.63%K -29.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-10-17 21:50
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-17 21:55
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-10-17 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-10-17 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-10-17 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-10-17 21:55
ProphetX◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-10-17 21:55
Novig◎2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.0%2026-10-17 21:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.19%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%8.3%2026-10-17 21:35