The School of Odds

Carlos Tardio v Mackson Lee

2026-07-25 02:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Carlos Tardio (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -33.33%
Kelly -50.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%0.00%0.00%31.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.003.003.0033%33%33%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Mackson Lee (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -73.53%
Kelly -277.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%0.00%0.00%68.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.361.361.361.3674%74%74%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%6.9%2026-07-23 14:45
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%6.9%2026-07-23 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.