Language:English
Carli Judice v Juliana Miller
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carli Judice (Local)
Prediction 84.84%1.18fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -23.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.46%84.81%84.86%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.24%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juliana Miller (Visit)
Prediction 15.16%6.60fair odd
EV +6.11%
Edge +0.873%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.19%15.14%16.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.216.257.0017.54%16.11%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carli Judice (Local): 84.84%; Juliana Miller (Visit): 15.16%. For Juliana Miller (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.60. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.11%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.67%E -6.07%K -66.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.11%E +0.873%K +1.02%G +0.062% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +4.59%E +0.666%K +0.779%G +0.036% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 10:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.56%E +0.233%K +0.274%G +0.004% | 5.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.046%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +0.046%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.712%E -0.109%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.47%E -0.226%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.47%E -0.226%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.47%E -0.226%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.06%EV -3.28%E -2.88%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.94%EV -1.62%E -0.250%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -2.23%E -0.345%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-20 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.26%E -0.841%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.53%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.05%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.05%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.05%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.05%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.05%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.05%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.05%EV -5.83%E -5.25%K -52.96%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -11.32%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -12.08%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.84%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.84%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.84%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.84%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.98%E -4.44%K -41.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.84%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.13%E -3.65%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -13.60%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.21% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.79% | 0.0% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.05% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.95% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.79% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |