Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cam Rowston v Robert Bryczek

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 10:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cam Rowston (Local)

Prediction 65.53%1.53fair odd
EV +5.50%
Edge +3.42%
Kelly +9.01%
Growth +0.496%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%64.84%65.63%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.451.6169.93%68.00%68.97%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Robert Bryczek (Visit)

Prediction 34.47%2.90fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.43%35.16%34.37%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.702.753.0043.48%36.99%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cam Rowston (Local): 65.53%; Robert Bryczek (Visit): 34.47%. For Cam Rowston (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.50%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +5.50%E +3.42%K +9.01%G +0.496%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -20.71%E -9.01%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV +0.256%E +0.167%K +0.483%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -10.37%E -3.99%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 00:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.256%E +0.167%K +0.483%G +0.001%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 10:35
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +0.256%E +0.167%K +0.483%G +0.001%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 08:04
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV +0.256%E +0.167%K +0.483%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -18.99%E -8.08%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 10:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -0.399%E -0.263%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -13.82%E -5.53%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 03:19
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -0.399%E -0.263%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -17.26%E -7.19%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.71%E -1.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 09:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.71%E -1.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.68%E -3.69%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 09:45
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.71%E -1.14%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.09%E -4.74%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 08:01
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.36%E -1.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.23%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.75%E -0.615%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 10:34
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.16%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.58%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 10:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.68%E -2.50%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.92%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 10:30
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 10:26
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 10:26
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.99%E -3.44%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 10:25
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +3.42%E +1.14%K +1.71%G +0.058%2.8%2026-05-02 10:41
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.75%E -0.615%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 10:40
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.75%E -0.615%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 10:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.75%E -0.615%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:25
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:26
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:26
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.20%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:25
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.30%E -4.40%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.028%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 10:39
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.30%E -4.40%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.028%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 10:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-02 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-02 10:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-02 10:35
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-02 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-02 10:41

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.44%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%8.7%2026-05-02 09:26