The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bryce Mitchell v Victor Henry

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bryce Mitchell (Local)

Prediction 66.74%1.50fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.49%66.92%66.67%69.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4774.07%71.45%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Victor Henry (Visit)

Prediction 33.26%3.01fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.472%
Kelly +0.702%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%33.08%33.33%34.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.893.0536.36%34.62%34.60%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bryce Mitchell (Local): 66.74%; Victor Henry (Visit): 33.26%. For Victor Henry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.472%K +0.702%G +0.010%6.9%2026-05-26 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.472%K +0.702%G +0.010%6.9%2026-05-26 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.89%E -0.639%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:08
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.89%E -0.639%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:08
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.89%E -0.639%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:08
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.89%E -0.639%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:08
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.89%E -0.639%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:08
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.89%E -0.639%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.90%E -4.18%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.55%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 11:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 11:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.23%E -2.22%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.21%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 08:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.90%E -4.18%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 12:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.21%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 12:59
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.23%E -2.22%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -6.21%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 12:39
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 18:39
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -1.89%E -1.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -7.23%E -5.20%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.54%E -3.10%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 15:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -7.23%E -5.20%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.54%E -3.10%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%100.0%2026-06-01 12:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.92%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.74%70.00I 1.43%NM 1.34%6.2%2026-05-27 15:20