The School of Odds

Bryce Meredith v Michael Cyr

2026-07-25 22:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bryce Meredith (Local)

Prediction 76.19%1.31fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -19.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%76.19%76.19%76.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.251.251.2581%80%80%80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Michael Cyr (Visit)

Prediction 23.81%4.20fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%23.81%23.81%23.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.004.004.0025%25%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.76%E -3.81%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.52%E -4.45%K -23.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.