Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brendan Allen v Edmen Shahbazyan

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brendan Allen (Local)

Prediction 62.04%1.61fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.21%62.03%62.25%65.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.521.531.5768.49%65.63%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Edmen Shahbazyan (Visit)

Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.68%37.97%37.75%39.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.552.7543.48%39.41%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brendan Allen (Local): 62.04%; Edmen Shahbazyan (Visit): 37.96%. For Edmen Shahbazyan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -9.43%E -6.46%K -20.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +4.40%E +1.60%K +2.52%G +0.111%4.9%2026-06-07 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -9.43%E -6.46%K -20.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +4.40%E +1.60%K +2.52%G +0.111%4.9%2026-06-07 01:30
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.57%E -5.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +2.50%E +0.927%K +1.47%G +0.037%4.2%2026-06-07 01:23
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV +0.985%E +0.370%K +0.593%G +0.006%4.3%2026-06-07 01:30
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -0.154%E -0.059%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.84%E -2.48%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -0.913%E -0.350%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-07 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.46%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.29%E -0.497%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 01:28
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.29%E -0.497%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-07 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.71%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.29%E -0.497%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 01:29
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.46%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 01:29
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.46%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 01:28
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.46%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.71%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.71%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 01:30
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.71%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.46%E -2.90%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.57%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.71%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 01:30
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:29
PlayUp🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -6.33%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -5.47%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.22%E -2.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 01:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.84%E -2.48%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 01:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 01:30
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.09%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 01:29
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.60%E -1.66%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.84%E -2.48%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.95%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 01:27
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -5.71%E -3.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-07 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-06-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-06-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-06-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-06-07 01:30
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-07 01:30
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-07 01:30
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-06-07 01:30
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-06-07 01:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.72%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.41%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87%6.9%2026-06-07 01:29