Language:English
Brendan Allen v Christian Leroy Duncan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brendan Allen (Local)
Prediction 51.16%1.95fair odd
EV -0.753%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.29%51.07%54.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.841.831.9460.24%54.47%54.64%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit)
Prediction 48.84%2.05fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.67%48.71%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.961.952.1054.95%51.12%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brendan Allen (Local): 51.16%; Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit): 48.84%. For Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.45%E -5.34%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.57%E +1.22%K +2.33%G +0.060% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -10.98%E -6.31%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.10%E +0.533%K +1.03%G +0.011% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.89%E -3.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.33%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 01:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.33%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.85%E -2.61%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.33%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.33%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 01:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.33%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -0.753%E -0.388%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.33%E -2.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.26%E -0.655%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-11 02:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.31%E -1.75%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.74%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.31%E -1.75%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.74%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 02:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.36%E -2.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 02:12 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.38%E -3.49%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.61%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.92%E -4.40%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.30%EV -15.08%E -9.08%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.70%EV -11.11%E -6.10%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88% | -0.1% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 0.0% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.88% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:50 |