Language:English
Brad Tavares v Eryk Anders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brad Tavares (Local)
Prediction 44.12%2.27fair odd
EV +27.96%
Edge +9.64%
Kelly +14.71%
Growth +4.11%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%43.37%45.02%57.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.572.092.082.9063.69%47.79%48.08%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Eryk Anders (Visit)
Prediction 55.88%1.79fair odd
EV +24.61%
Edge +11.03%
Kelly +20.00%
Growth +4.92%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%56.63%54.98%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.761.732.2371.43%56.94%57.80%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brad Tavares (Local): 44.12%; Eryk Anders (Visit): 55.88%. For Brad Tavares (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.96%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -28.52%E -17.61%K -46.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV +24.61%E +11.03%K +20.00%G +4.92% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -28.52%E -17.61%K -46.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV +24.61%E +11.03%K +20.00%G +4.92% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -28.96%E -17.99%K -47.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV +21.81%E +10.01%K +18.48%G +4.03% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -28.96%E -17.99%K -47.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV +21.81%E +10.01%K +18.48%G +4.03% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -30.73%E -19.57%K -53.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV +20.13%E +9.37%K +17.51%G +3.53% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -15.72%E -8.23%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +6.72%E +3.52%K +7.39%G +0.497% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -15.28%E -7.96%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV +6.17%E +3.25%K +6.85%G +0.422% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -17.49%E -9.35%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +4.49%E +2.40%K +5.16%G +0.232% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -13.96%E -7.16%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +3.37%E +1.82%K +3.97%G +0.134% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.75%E -5.88%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.578%E +0.321%K +0.723%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -6.02%E -2.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -0.539%E -0.303%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.10%E -0.620%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.75%E -5.88%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.10%E -0.620%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.02%E -2.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.55%E -4.66%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.46%E -3.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 22:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.75%E -5.88%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.33%E -1.93%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.81%E -1.75%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.45%E -2.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 22:11 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.22%E -3.95%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.22%E -3.95%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.22%E -3.95%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -10.43%E -5.14%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -5.01%E -2.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.34%E -3.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.57%E -3.29%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.13%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.69%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -9.99%E -4.90%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -6.69%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -9.99%E -4.90%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -6.69%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -9.99%E -4.90%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -6.69%E -4.00%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.601%E +0.264%K +0.470%G +0.003% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -10.04%E -6.24%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +5.01%E +2.11%K +3.63%G +0.182% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -12.27%E -7.82%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +5.90%E +2.46%K +4.21%G +0.248% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -12.83%E -8.23%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 22:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +10.31%E +4.12%K +6.87%G +0.708% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -14.51%E -9.48%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +10.31%E +4.12%K +6.87%G +0.708% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -16.18%E -10.79%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +10.31%E +4.12%K +6.87%G +0.708% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -16.18%E -10.79%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +19.13%E +7.09%K +11.25%G +2.15% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -20.66%E -14.55%K -49.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +27.96%E +9.64%K +14.71%G +4.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -21.77%E -15.55%K -54.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 22:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-03-14 22:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 22:08 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.86% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.98% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.02% | 14.9% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |