Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borys Dzikowski v Adrian Dudek

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borys Dzikowski (Local)

Prediction 53.91%1.86fair odd

EV -5.12%

Edge -2.91%

Kelly -6.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.68%53.91%53.91%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.711.731.731.7658.48%57.64%57.64%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adrian Dudek (Visit)

Prediction 46.09%2.17fair odd

EV -5.97%

Edge -2.93%

Kelly -5.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.09%46.09%46.09%46.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.022.022.0450.00%49.50%49.50%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Borys Dzikowski (Local): 53.91%; Adrian Dudek (Visit): 46.09%. For Borys Dzikowski (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.76, with an expected value of -5.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.12%E -2.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.97%E -2.93%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-16 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.82%E -4.57%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-16 21:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.