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Borislav Nikolić v Mark Vologdin

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borislav Nikolić (Local)

Prediction 61.93%1.61fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.90%62.03%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5767.57%64.86%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mark Vologdin (Visit)

Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.643%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.10%37.97%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.492.502.6042.02%40.13%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 16:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.40%E -3.95%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.76%E -1.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.40%E -3.95%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.38%E -2.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.38%E -2.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 16:59
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.38%E -2.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 16:59
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.00%E -2.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.79%E -0.694%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 16:59
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.00%E -2.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.98%E -2.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.00%E -2.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 16:59
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 16:59
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 17:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:59
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:58
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:59
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 16:59
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -7.12%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.24%E -3.43%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.03%E -0.396%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.43%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:14
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.24%E -3.43%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:14
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.86%E -3.86%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:59
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.86%E -3.86%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:59
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 61.66%EV -8.34%E -5.63%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.40%E -3.95%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 60.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.76%-1.8%2026-07-28 19:45
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-07-28 16:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%8.4%2026-07-28 16:59