Language:English
Bo Nickal v Kyle Daukaus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bo Nickal (Local)
Prediction 74.52%1.34fair odd
EV -0.893%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%74.34%74.70%75.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3380.00%77.29%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kyle Daukaus (Visit)
Prediction 25.48%3.92fair odd
EV +0.659%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%25.66%25.30%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.503.9530.77%27.97%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bo Nickal (Local): 74.52%; Kyle Daukaus (Visit): 25.48%. For Kyle Daukaus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.659%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.62%E -3.61%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.659%E +0.167%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.87%E -3.00%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -0.615%E -0.158%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.87%E -3.00%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -0.615%E -0.158%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.36%E -4.22%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.615%E -0.158%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 01:17 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.87%E -3.00%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.89%E -0.491%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-15 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.62%E -3.61%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.16%E -0.832%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.87%E -3.00%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-14 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.62%E -3.61%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.36%E -4.22%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 01:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.62%E -3.61%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.99%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.85%E -5.48%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.53%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.44%EV -4.62%E -3.61%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.56%EV -9.79%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.30%E -2.93%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.64%E -1.24%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.38%E -1.82%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.38%E -1.82%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.13%E -2.41%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-09 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.87%E -3.00%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.87%E -3.00%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.36%E -4.22%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -1.64%E -1.24%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.62%E -3.61%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.91%E -4.82%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.893%E -0.671%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.18%E -5.29%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.893%E -0.671%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.18%E -5.29%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 01:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 01:11 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.66% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.34% | 2.1% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 01:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.25% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.3% | 2026-06-15 00:50 |