Benoit Saint-Denis v Paddy Pimblett

2026-12-27 03:00 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Benoit Saint-Denis (Local)

Odds

1.5066.67%Min

1.5066.67%Mean

1.5066.67%Median

1.5066.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

64.29%1.556Min

64.29%1.556Max

64.29%1.556Mean

64.29%1.556Median

64.29%1.556IQM

64.29%1.556Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 64.29%

EV -3.57%Edge -2.38%Kelly -7.14%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Paddy Pimblett (Visit)

Odds

2.7037.04%Min

2.7037.04%Mean

2.7037.04%Median

2.7037.04%Max

Consensus probabilities

35.71%2.800Min

35.71%2.800Max

35.71%2.800Mean

35.71%2.800Median

35.71%2.800IQM

35.71%2.800Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.70 under the IQM model: 35.71%

EV -3.57%Edge -1.32%Kelly -2.10%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Benoit Saint-Denis (Local) ▼	Paddy Pimblett (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.50I 66.67% NM 64.29%EV -3.57% E -2.38% K -7.14% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.71%EV -3.57% E -1.32% K -2.10% G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-11 23:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth