Language:English
Baysangur Susurkaev v Djorden Santos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baysangur Susurkaev (Local)
Prediction 85.91%1.16fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -14.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.45%85.80%85.94%86.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.131.1490.91%89.08%88.50%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Djorden Santos (Visit)
Prediction 14.09%7.10fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.229%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.69%14.20%14.06%16.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.436.257.0017.39%15.56%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baysangur Susurkaev (Local): 85.91%; Djorden Santos (Visit): 14.09%. For Djorden Santos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.00, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.06%E -1.81%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -18.99%E -3.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 21:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.01%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.99%EV -2.08%E -0.299%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.00%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.94I 14.41%NM 14.00%EV -2.22%E -0.320%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 19:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -8.42%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -8.42%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 15:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -2.92%E -2.58%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -16.87%E -2.86%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.78%E -3.37%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.90%E -0.726%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.78%E -3.37%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -7.01%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.78%E -3.37%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.42%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 21:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.78%E -3.37%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.83%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.78%E -3.37%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.38%E -0.196%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.38%E -0.196%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.38%E -0.196%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.90%E -0.726%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.90%E -0.726%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.90%E -0.726%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -54.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.42%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -54.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.42%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -54.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.94%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.69% | 8.12I 12.32%NM 12.31% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.36% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.64% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 21:39 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.17% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |