The School of Odds

Bartosz Kurek v Laid Zerhouni

2026-07-18 12:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bartosz Kurek (Local)

Prediction 53.91%1.86fair odd
EV -7.82%
Edge -4.57%
Kelly -11.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%53.91%53.91%53.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.711.711.7158%58%58%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Laid Zerhouni (Visit)

Prediction 46.09%2.17fair odd
EV -7.82%
Edge -3.91%
Kelly -7.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%46.09%46.09%46.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.002.002.0050%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.82%E -4.57%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-14 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.