Language:English
Azamat Bekoev v Tresean Gore
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Azamat Bekoev (Local)
Prediction 80.80%1.24fair odd
EV +57.57%
Edge +29.52%
Kelly +60.60%
Growth +34.89%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%76.00%82.71%84.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.441.181.9588.50%69.30%84.75%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tresean Gore (Visit)
Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd
EV +19.01%
Edge +3.07%
Kelly +3.66%
Growth +0.695%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%24.00%17.29%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.713.874.606.2058.48%25.82%21.74%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Azamat Bekoev (Local): 80.80%; Tresean Gore (Visit): 19.20%. For Azamat Bekoev (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.24. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +57.57%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +57.57%E +29.52%K +60.60%G +34.89% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -66.41%E -37.95%K -88.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +57.57%E +29.52%K +60.60%G +34.89% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -66.41%E -37.95%K -88.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +57.57%E +29.52%K +60.60%G +34.89% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -66.41%E -37.95%K -88.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +57.57%E +29.52%K +60.60%G +34.89% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -66.41%E -37.95%K -88.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV +55.95%E +28.99%K +60.16%G +33.66% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -66.60%E -38.28%K -90.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV +55.15%E +28.72%K +59.94%G +33.05% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -66.79%E -38.61%K -91.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV +55.15%E +28.72%K +59.94%G +33.05% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -66.79%E -38.61%K -91.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV +55.15%E +28.72%K +59.94%G +33.05% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -66.79%E -38.61%K -91.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV +55.15%E +28.72%K +59.94%G +33.05% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -66.79%E -38.61%K -91.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV +52.72%E +27.89%K +59.24%G +31.23% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.50%EV -67.18%E -39.28%K -94.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +51.11%E +27.33%K +58.74%G +30.02% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -63.34%E -33.16%K -69.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +51.11%E +27.33%K +58.74%G +30.02% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -64.11%E -34.28%K -73.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV +50.30%E +27.04%K +58.48%G +29.42% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -63.72%E -33.71%K -71.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +26.86%E +17.11%K +47.13%G +12.66% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -54.32%E -22.82%K -39.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +26.86%E +17.11%K +47.13%G +12.66% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -54.32%E -22.82%K -39.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV +22.02%E +14.58%K +43.17%G +9.50% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -53.93%E -22.47%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +21.21%E +14.14%K +42.41%G +8.99% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -52.01%E -20.80%K -34.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV +18.78%E +12.78%K +39.96%G +7.51% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -49.32%E -18.68%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +9.09%E +6.73%K +25.96%G +2.36% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -42.41%E -14.14%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.33%EV -3.03%E -2.53%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -36.66%E -11.11%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.70%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 22:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.62%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.38%EV +13.64%E +2.30%K +2.77%G +0.378% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.16%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +9.99%E +1.74%K +2.11%G +0.211% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 00:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.82%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +10.37%E +1.80%K +2.18%G +0.226% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +10.37%E +1.80%K +2.18%G +0.226% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 10:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +10.37%E +1.80%K +2.18%G +0.226% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 10:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +10.37%E +1.80%K +2.18%G +0.226% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 10:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV +8.45%E +1.50%K +1.82%G +0.154% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.57%E +1.01%K +1.24%G +0.069% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.57%E +1.01%K +1.24%G +0.069% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.57%E +1.01%K +1.24%G +0.069% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 11:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.57%E +1.01%K +1.24%G +0.069% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +10.37%E +1.80%K +2.18%G +0.226% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.57%E +1.01%K +1.24%G +0.069% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 03:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.57%E +1.01%K +1.24%G +0.069% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +0.775%E +0.148%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 22:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -8.69%E -7.69%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +19.01%E +3.07%K +3.66%G +0.695% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -8.69%E -7.69%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +19.01%E +3.07%K +3.66%G +0.695% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -8.69%E -7.69%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +15.17%E +2.53%K +3.03%G +0.460% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 22:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -8.69%E -7.69%K -66.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -2.10%E -0.413%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 22:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.72% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 15.28% | 0.0% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 22:13 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 22:12 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.98% | 14.9% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 63.10% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 36.90% | 27.8% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 69.23% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 30.77% | 44.4% | 2026-04-04 22:21 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.40% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 21:49 |