Language:English
Austin Bashi v Jose Delgado
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austin Bashi (Local)
Prediction 55.71%1.79fair odd
EV -0.835%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.52%55.68%55.14%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.76%57.64%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jose Delgado (Visit)
Prediction 44.29%2.26fair odd
EV +0.537%
Edge +0.237%
Kelly +0.423%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.32%44.86%46.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.102.2748.78%46.94%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV +0.537%E +0.237%K +0.423%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +0.537%E +0.237%K +0.423%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 23:24 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV +0.094%E +0.042%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 23:20 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.349%E -0.155%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 20:53 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.96%E -4.17%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.349%E -0.155%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.08%E -4.90%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.349%E -0.155%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -0.792%E -0.353%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 23:25 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.68%E -0.756%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 23:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.45%E -1.58%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.06%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.78%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.66%E -2.66%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 16:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.66%E -2.66%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 20:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.11%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:35 |
| Betsson | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:35 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.835%E -0.469%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.39%E -0.787%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.95%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.21%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44% | -0.2% | 2026-07-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 23:30 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.71% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.46% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 23:15 |