Language:English
Arman Tsarukyan v Mauricio Ruffy
Head to Head
Arman Tsarukyan (Local)
Prediction 73.29%1.36fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -7.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.09%73.33%73.20%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3381.97%76.96%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mauricio Ruffy (Visit)
Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +0.899%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.67%26.80%28.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.503.8433.33%28.68%28.57%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arman Tsarukyan (Local): 73.29%; Mauricio Ruffy (Visit): 26.71%. For Mauricio Ruffy (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.84, producing a positive expected value of +2.55%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV +2.55%E +0.665%K +0.899%G +0.023% | 3.6% | 2026-09-15 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.48%E +0.390%K +0.530%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 05:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +0.950%E +0.251%K +0.342%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.19%E -0.321%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.52%E -0.691%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.52%E -0.691%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 19:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.25%E -2.46%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-16 03:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.86%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-14 03:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-14 11:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 17:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.12%E -7.35%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 03:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.53%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 05:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.45%E -4.23%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -7.60%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 10:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.99%E -3.04%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.92%E -5.45%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 15:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 03:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.72%E -3.63%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 03:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.38%E -6.71%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.20%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.52%E -1.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.58%E -8.67%K -48.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.91%EV -19.88%E -6.63%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-14 17:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81% | -0.2% | 2026-09-16 05:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-09-16 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-09-16 05:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-09-16 05:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-09-14 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 19:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 03:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.35% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 10:34 |