Language:English
Arman Tsarukyan v Mauricio Ruffy
Head to Head
Arman Tsarukyan (Local)
Prediction 75.63%1.32fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -8.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%75.61%75.67%77.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.00%79.68%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mauricio Ruffy (Visit)
Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.030%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.39%24.33%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.38%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arman Tsarukyan (Local): 75.63%; Mauricio Ruffy (Visit): 24.37%. For Mauricio Ruffy (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.104. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.100, with an expected value of -0.093%; they do not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.43%E -1.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.43%E -1.89%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 16:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.95%E -3.11%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 20:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.95%E -3.11%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 01:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 23:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.22%E -5.01%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.093%E -0.023%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 05:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.22%E -5.01%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 20:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.22%E -5.01%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.73%E -6.33%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.093%E -0.023%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 20:07 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.73%E -6.33%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 12:37 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.48%E -7.01%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -15.93%E -4.62%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -8.48%E -7.01%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -17.15%E -5.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 05:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.24%E -7.70%K -46.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-13 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 04:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 10:54 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.08% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.84% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 20:14 |