Arman Tsarukyan v Colby Covington

2026-07-19 00:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Arman Tsarukyan (Local)

Prediction 85.53%1.17fair odd

EV -5.92%

Edge -5.38%

Kelly -59.21%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.53%85.53%85.53%85.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.101.101.101.1091%91%91%91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Colby Covington (Visit)

Prediction 14.47%6.91fair odd

EV -5.92%

Edge -0.911%

Kelly -1.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.47%14.47%14.47%14.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.506.506.506.5015%15%15%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.21%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.92%E -0.911%K -1.08%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-15 02:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.