Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aristides Vinicius Dias v Alexsandro Cangaty

2026-08-01 01:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aristides Vinicius Dias (Local)

Prediction 73.68%1.36fair odd

EV -7.16%

Edge -5.68%

Kelly -27.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

73.68%73.68%73.68%73.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.251.261.261.2680.00%79.58%79.37%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexsandro Cangaty (Visit)

Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd

EV -6.58%

Edge -1.85%

Kelly -2.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.20%26.32%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.533.553.5528.57%28.30%28.17%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.16%E -5.68%K -27.53%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-30 13:30
Grosvenor	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.16%E -5.68%K -27.53%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-30 13:29
BetOnline.ag	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.89%E -6.32%K -31.58%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-30 13:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.