Arbi Chakaev v Dominik Herold

2026-07-18 17:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

28%

72%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Arbi Chakaev (Local)

Prediction 28.41%3.52fair odd

EV -7.65%

Edge -2.36%

Kelly -3.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.41%28.41%28.41%28.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.253.253.253.2531%31%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Dominik Herold (Visit)

Prediction 71.59%1.40fair odd

EV -7.65%

Edge -5.93%

Kelly -26.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.59%71.59%71.59%71.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.291.291.291.2978%78%78%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.65%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.65%E -5.93%K -26.39%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-14 22:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.