Language:English
Aori Qileng v Kai Asakura
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aori Qileng (Local)
Prediction 21.57%4.64fair odd
EV +4.59%
Edge +0.947%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.83%21.50%21.71%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.394.384.8526.32%22.80%22.86%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kai Asakura (Visit)
Prediction 78.43%1.27fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -11.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.55%78.50%78.29%80.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.211.211.2486.21%82.59%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aori Qileng (Local): 21.57%; Kai Asakura (Visit): 78.43%. For Aori Qileng (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.59%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +4.59%E +0.947%K +1.19%G +0.055% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +3.51%E +0.732%K +0.925%G +0.032% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 11:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +2.44%E +0.513%K +0.650%G +0.016% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.799%E -0.174%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.799%E -0.174%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -2.31%E -0.510%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.78%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.96%E -0.657%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.74%E -2.21%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.96%E -0.657%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.96%E -0.657%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.96%E -0.657%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.96%E -0.657%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.96%E -0.657%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.23%E -7.04%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-24 17:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -4.03%E -0.907%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.66%E -5.60%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 07:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.53%E -2.87%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.53%E -2.87%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 12:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 12:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.88%E -4.90%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 07:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.53%E -2.87%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 11:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.53%E -2.87%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.53%E -2.87%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.31%E -3.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-26 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -9.02%E -7.77%K -56.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.21%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -18.05%E -4.75%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -3.53%E -2.87%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 07:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.62% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.38% | -0.0% | 2026-08-29 11:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 11:21 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.44% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.69% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 07:45 |