Language:English
Aori Qileng v Cody Haddon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aori Qileng (Local)
Prediction 24.09%4.15fair odd
EV +5.03%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 4.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.28%24.14%24.33%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.994.004.3628.57%25.03%25.00%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cody Haddon (Visit)
Prediction 75.91%1.32fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -7.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%75.86%75.67%77.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.251.251.2981.30%79.73%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aori Qileng (Local): 24.09%; Cody Haddon (Visit): 75.91%. For Aori Qileng (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.03%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.28%EV +5.03%E +1.15%K +1.50%G +0.075% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.72%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +2.38%E +0.560%K +0.732%G +0.017% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.18%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.18%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.18%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 08:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.18%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.18%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.18%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.18%E +0.280%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.23%E -0.301%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 09:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.23%E -0.301%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 04:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.23%E -0.301%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.23%E -0.301%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -1.47%E -0.360%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.44%E -0.602%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 15:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 05:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 07:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 03:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 05:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.35%E -3.45%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.35%E -3.45%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 15:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.45%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.26%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -8.94%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 05:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 03:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.69%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 09:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.69%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 09:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97% | 1.8% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 09:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.70% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |