Language:English
Anthony Hernandez v Gregory Rodrigues
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anthony Hernandez (Local)
Prediction 65.55%1.53fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.26%65.53%65.48%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5171.43%68.69%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gregory Rodrigues (Visit)
Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.552%
Kelly +0.835%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%34.47%34.52%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.37%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anthony Hernandez (Local): 65.55%; Gregory Rodrigues (Visit): 34.45%. For Gregory Rodrigues (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.63%E +0.552%K +0.835%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 02:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.92%E -4.87%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +1.63%E +0.552%K +0.835%G +0.014% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -4.30%E -2.94%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV +0.250%E +0.086%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-23 02:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.95%E -3.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.47%E -0.515%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.82%E -0.638%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 20:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.95%E -3.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.54%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.54%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.54%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.54%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.54%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.95%E -3.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.57%E -1.65%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 00:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 02:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 02:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.42%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 20:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 02:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.10%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.90%EV -5.95%E -2.18%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.33%E -1.56%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 02:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:33 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.61%E -3.89%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.98%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -1.02%E -0.675%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -1.02%E -0.675%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 14:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -12.15%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89% | 0.0% | 2026-08-23 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 02:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 02:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 02:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 71.02% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 28.98% | 26.9% | 2026-08-23 02:19 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.54% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 23:39 |