Language:English
Ante Delija v Sergey Spivak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ante Delija (Local)
Prediction 53.10%1.88fair odd
EV +3.54%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +3.72%
Growth +0.132%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%53.83%52.63%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.731.771.9567.57%57.69%56.50%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sergey Spivak (Visit)
Prediction 46.90%2.13fair odd
EV +14.92%
Edge +6.09%
Kelly +10.29%
Growth +1.53%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%46.17%47.37%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.082.052.4553.48%48.08%48.78%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ante Delija (Local): 53.10%; Sergey Spivak (Visit): 46.90%. For Sergey Spivak (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.92%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -21.42%E -14.47%K -44.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV +14.92%E +6.09%K +10.29%G +1.53% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -21.42%E -14.47%K -44.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV +14.92%E +6.09%K +10.29%G +1.53% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -16.64%E -10.60%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +11.63%E +4.89%K +8.43%G +0.980% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -16.64%E -10.60%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +11.63%E +4.89%K +8.43%G +0.980% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -13.98%E -8.63%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +5.07%E +2.26%K +4.09%G +0.207% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -14.52%E -9.02%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV +4.60%E +2.06%K +3.74%G +0.172% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -12.39%E -7.51%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +3.19%E +1.45%K +2.66%G +0.085% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -15.05%E -9.40%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV +2.25%E +1.03%K +1.91%G +0.043% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -15.05%E -9.40%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV +2.25%E +1.03%K +1.91%G +0.043% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -15.05%E -9.40%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV +2.25%E +1.03%K +1.91%G +0.043% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.27%E -6.08%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.50%E -0.715%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 02:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.50%E -0.715%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -11.33%E -6.78%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -11.86%E -7.15%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -3.38%E -1.64%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 02:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.85%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 03:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 02:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.30%E -1.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 02:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 08:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.10%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV +0.882%E +0.464%K +0.980%G +0.009% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -6.66%E -3.35%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-22 02:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -0.711%E -0.380%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.711%E -0.380%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 02:32 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.55%E -3.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.54%E -4.38%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 10:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 02:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -11.35%E -6.01%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 02:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +3.54%E +1.81%K +3.72%G +0.132% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 02:32 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.12% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.88% | -0.2% | 2026-02-22 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12% | 0.4% | 2026-02-22 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10% | 2.3% | 2026-02-22 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.03% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.11% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:55 |