The School of OddsAnna Melisano v Dione Barbosa
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Anna Melisano (Local)
Prediction 21.89%4.57fair odd
EV +3.97%
Edge +0.836%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.30%21.88%21.71%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.274.304.7527%23%23%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Dione Barbosa (Visit)
Prediction 78.11%1.28fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -9.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%78.12%78.29%79.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.221.221.2583%82%82%80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +3.97%E +0.836%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.49%E -4.53%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.688%E +0.150%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.27%E -5.22%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 04:30 |
| Coolbet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.406%E -0.089%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.70%E -3.86%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 04:09 |
| BetUS | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.625%E -0.138%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.49%E -4.53%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 03:10 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.70%E -3.86%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| Caesars | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.50%E -0.333%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.70%E -3.86%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| Pinnacle | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.58%EV -2.16%E -0.483%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.42%EV -3.92%E -3.19%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 03:10 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.69%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.70%E -3.86%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 03:13 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.14%E -2.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| SportsBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.70%E -3.86%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.97%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.92%E -3.19%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.16%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.70%E -3.86%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.92%E -3.19%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 03:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.70%E -3.86%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| BetAnything | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.49%E -4.53%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -15.73%E -4.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.36%E -1.89%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.36%E -1.89%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.36%E -1.89%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 03:12 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-07-14 03:10 |
| Novig | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72% | 3.3% | 2026-07-14 03:20 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 03:10 |
| ProphetX | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 05:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 05:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 03:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.43I 22.57%NM 20.85% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.35% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.80% | 8.2% | 2026-07-14 03:14 |