Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Angela Hill v Jingnan Xiong

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

38%

62%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Angela Hill (Local)

Prediction 37.77%2.65fair odd

EV +3.88%

Edge +1.41%

Kelly +2.21%

Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.37%37.56%37.68%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.532.552.7541.67%39.48%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jingnan Xiong (Visit)

Prediction 62.23%1.61fair odd

EV -0.437%

Edge -0.273%

Kelly -0.728%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.00%62.44%62.32%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.20%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Angela Hill (Local): 37.77%; Jingnan Xiong (Visit): 62.23%. For Angela Hill (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.88%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +3.88%E +1.41%K +2.21%G +0.086%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.39%E -7.22%K -23.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-21 08:59
Coolbet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.99%E +0.736%K +1.17%G +0.023%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.90%E -5.34%K -16.47%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-26 02:00
FanDuel🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.79%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-29 23:10
DraftKings🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.79%E -0.688%K -1.12%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.42%E -3.56%K -10.41%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-30 04:19
Pinnacle🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.55%E -0.987%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-30 04:20
SportsBet🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.55%E -0.987%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.84%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-29 23:09
Bovada🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-05-30 08:19
NordicBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.17%E -2.71%K -7.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-29 15:09
Betsson🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.17%E -2.71%K -7.72%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-29 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-29 19:29
Neds🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-29 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-30 08:40
Unibet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.42%E -3.56%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-30 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.42%E -3.56%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-30 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.42%E -3.56%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-30 08:40
TABtouch🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.84%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-30 08:40
LeoVegas🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.84%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-30 08:40
Grosvenor🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.84%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-30 08:40
PlayUp🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.68%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.66%E -4.44%K -13.32%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-30 00:59
Caesars🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.57%E -2.23%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-29 17:26
888sport🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.57%E -2.23%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-30 08:30
Paddy Power🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.57%E -2.23%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-29 23:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.57%E -2.23%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-29 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -6.70%E -2.71%K -4.56%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -0.437%E -0.273%K -0.728%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-30 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.46%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-30 08:40
Bet Right🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.46%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-30 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.46%E -3.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.79%E -3.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-30 08:30
BetUS🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.34%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.437%E -0.273%K -0.728%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-30 08:40
BetAnything🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.34%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.06%E -0.666%K -1.80%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-30 01:19
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.34%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-30 08:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%	1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%	-0.2%	2026-05-30 08:29
ProphetX◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%	0.2%	2026-05-30 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	1.1%	2026-05-30 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	1.1%	2026-05-30 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	1.1%	2026-05-30 08:40
Matchbook◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	1.1%	2026-05-30 08:40
Kalshi◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%	1.1%	2026-05-30 07:50
Novig◎	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%	2.0%	2026-05-30 04:17

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.61I 38.31%NM 35.31%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.27%	38.00I 2.63%NM 2.43%	8.5%	2026-05-30 07:10