Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrea Kabali v Danilo Belluardo

2026-10-17 19:40 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrea Kabali (Local)

Prediction 65.02%1.54fair odd

EV -2.46%

Edge -1.64%

Kelly -4.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.83%65.02%65.02%65.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.461.491.501.5068.49%67.23%66.89%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Danilo Belluardo (Visit)

Prediction 34.98%2.86fair odd

EV -3.12%

Edge -1.12%

Kelly -1.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.93%34.98%34.98%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.432.592.582.7741.15%38.65%38.83%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Andrea Kabali (Local): 65.02%; Danilo Belluardo (Visit): 34.98%. For Andrea Kabali (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.50, with an expected value of -2.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -15.01%E -6.18%K -10.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-16 14:25
Grosvenor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -15.01%E -6.18%K -10.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-16 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.12%E -2.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.12%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-10-16 20:50
ReBet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.86%E -1.79%K -2.83%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-16 16:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.