Language:English
Andre Fili v Jose Delgado
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andre Fili (Local)
Prediction 21.91%4.56fair odd
EV +9.55%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +0.228%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%21.72%21.91%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.514.505.0027.40%22.17%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jose Delgado (Visit)
Prediction 78.09%1.28fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -9.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.49%78.28%78.09%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.201.2586.96%82.56%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andre Fili (Local): 21.91%; Jose Delgado (Visit): 78.09%. For Andre Fili (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.55%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +9.55%E +1.91%K +2.39%G +0.228% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.64%E -7.38%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +5.17%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.070% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -7.07%E -5.94%K -37.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.08%E +0.858%K +1.09%G +0.044% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.20%E -8.87%K -67.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.789%E +0.172%K +0.219%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 01:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV -3.81%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -2.39%E -1.91%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%EV -2.39%E -1.91%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 01:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.78%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.78%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.51%E -4.56%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.95%E -3.21%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.75%EV -7.76%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.25%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 01:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.73%E -3.88%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.29%E -5.24%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 01:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -20.03%E -5.49%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -2.39%E -1.91%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 01:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.83% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.17% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 01:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.47% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.47% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |