Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amru Magomedov v Joel Alvarez

2026-07-31 23:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amru Magomedov (Local)

Prediction 91.07%1.10fair odd

EV -6.20%

Edge -6.02%

Kelly -206.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.07%91.07%91.07%91.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.031.031.0397.09%97.09%97.09%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Joel Alvarez (Visit)

Prediction 8.93%11.19fair odd

EV -6.20%

Edge -0.591%

Kelly -0.653%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.93%8.93%8.93%8.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.5010.5010.5010.509.52%9.52%9.52%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.20%E -6.02%K -206.71%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -6.20%E -0.591%K -0.653%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-29 00:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.