Language:English
Amanda Lemos v Gillian Robertson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Amanda Lemos (Local)
Prediction 31.94%3.13fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.394%
Kelly +0.576%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.07%31.84%31.92%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.953.1735.71%33.78%33.90%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillian Robertson (Visit)
Prediction 68.06%1.47fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%68.16%68.08%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4575.76%71.36%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Amanda Lemos (Local): 31.94%; Gillian Robertson (Visit): 68.06%. For Amanda Lemos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +1.25%E +0.394%K +0.576%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -6.08%E -4.40%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 01:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.611%E +0.194%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.44%E -5.47%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.07%EV -1.94%E -0.633%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.93%EV -10.16%E -7.70%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.58%E -0.847%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 01:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.67%E -1.87%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.04%E -2.86%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.04%E -2.86%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.08%E -4.40%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.76%E -4.93%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -5.14%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -1.99%E -1.38%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 04:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.67%E -1.87%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.44%E -5.47%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 04:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.72%E -3.37%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.65%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -1.99%E -1.38%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.97%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.67%E -1.87%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.97%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.04%E -2.86%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.57%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.31%E -0.906%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.06I 32.68%NM 32.00% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.00% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 02:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.39% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.33% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 22:55 |