Language:English
Alonzo Menifield v Iwo Baraniewski
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alonzo Menifield (Local)
Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV +4.85%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%27.53%27.97%29.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.423.403.8032.79%29.23%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iwo Baraniewski (Visit)
Prediction 72.41%1.38fair odd
EV -0.800%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.09%72.47%72.03%74.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.311.321.3782.64%76.23%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alonzo Menifield (Local): 27.59%; Iwo Baraniewski (Visit): 72.41%. For Alonzo Menifield (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.85%E +1.28%K +1.73%G +0.084% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 01:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.47%E +0.925%K +1.26%G +0.044% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.47%E +0.925%K +1.26%G +0.044% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +3.19%E +0.854%K +1.17%G +0.037% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +2.09%E +0.565%K +0.774%G +0.016% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +0.709%E +0.194%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.670%E -0.186%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.670%E -0.186%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.43%E -0.980%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.980%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.43%E -0.980%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 01:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 01:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -8.67%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -0.800%E -0.584%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-19 23:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.29%EV -9.78%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 23:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.70%E -2.78%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 01:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.93%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -13.36%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -2.97%E -2.22%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 01:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -15.85%E -5.20%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -5.87%E -4.51%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -15.85%E -5.20%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.60%EV -12.39%E -10.24%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52% | 0.1% | 2026-09-20 01:02 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 01:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.19% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 23:29 |