Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.20
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Allen Frye Jr. (Local): 24.40%; RJ Harris (Visit): 75.60%. For Allen Frye Jr. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +2.48%E +0.591%K +0.776%G +0.019% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.26%E -5.05%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 21:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +2.48%E +0.591%K +0.776%G +0.019% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV +1.75%E +0.420%K +0.552%G +0.010% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.74%E -3.77%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.74%E -3.77%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.042%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.18%E -0.291%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.74%E -3.77%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -1.18%E -0.291%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 21:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -1.67%E -0.413%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.74%E -3.77%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.62%E -0.916%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.84%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.74%E -3.77%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.48%E -1.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.23%E -2.53%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -10.94%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -10.94%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.94%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -17.04%E -5.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.40%EV -11.55%E -9.87%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.52I 22.12%NM 22.07% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.93% | 0.2% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98% | 2.8% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |