Language:English
Alice Pereira v Hailey Cowan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alice Pereira (Local)
Prediction 55.36%1.81fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.717%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%55.93%55.21%81.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.691.721.8386.21%59.23%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hailey Cowan (Visit)
Prediction 44.64%2.24fair odd
EV +123.19%
Edge +24.64%
Kelly +30.80%
Growth +37.94%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%44.07%44.79%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.202.105.0052.36%45.48%47.62%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alice Pereira (Local): 55.36%; Hailey Cowan (Visit): 44.64%. For Hailey Cowan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +123.19%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -35.78%E -30.85%K -223.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +123.19%E +24.64%K +30.80%G +37.94% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -15.30%E -10.00%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +11.60%E +4.64%K +7.73%G +0.896% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -16.96%E -11.30%K -33.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +11.60%E +4.64%K +7.73%G +0.896% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -16.40%E -10.86%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV +7.13%E +2.97%K +5.09%G +0.363% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -15.30%E -10.00%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV +3.56%E +1.53%K +2.70%G +0.096% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.42%E -7.14%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.67%E +1.16%K +2.05%G +0.055% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.87%E -6.75%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.436%E +0.194%K +0.349%G +0.002% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.80%E -0.816%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.80%E -0.816%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 22:52 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.65%E -5.24%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.47%E -2.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 10:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.12%E -1.78%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.05%E -3.91%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:52 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.902%E -0.504%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -0.902%E -0.504%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 10:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.349%E -0.194%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -0.902%E -0.504%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -11.62%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 22:52 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.31%E +0.717%K +1.58%G +0.021% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.74%E -7.72%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 22:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 22:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.73% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.27% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 22:53 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 65.90% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 34.10% | 27.5% | 2026-04-04 22:52 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00% | 100.0% | 2026-04-04 22:53 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.77% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.41% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |