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Alibi Idiris v Ode Osbourne
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alibi Idiris (Local)
Prediction 55.55%1.80fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.52%55.56%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.741.7559.88%57.81%57.47%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ode Osbourne (Visit)
Prediction 44.45%2.25fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.48%44.44%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2248.78%47.21%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alibi Idiris (Local): 55.55%; Ode Osbourne (Visit): 44.45%. For Ode Osbourne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.10%E -1.42%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.79%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.88%E -2.28%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.90%E -2.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.90%E -2.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.88%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.45%E -2.59%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.99%E -1.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.32%E -0.596%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 00:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.23%E -4.33%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24% | 0.1% | 2026-02-22 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01% | 3.3% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 00:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.65% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 00:10 |