Alexandre Pantoja v Joshua Van

2027-01-01 03:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Alexandre Pantoja (Local)

Prediction 55.27%1.81fair odd

EV -3.83%

Edge -2.20%

Kelly -5.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.27%55.27%55.27%55.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.741.741.741.7457.47%57.47%57.47%57.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Joshua Van (Visit)

Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd

EV -3.83%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -3.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.73%44.73%44.73%44.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.152.152.152.1546.51%46.51%46.51%46.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-26 19:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%	33.00I 3.03%NM 2.83%	6.9%	2026-07-06 22:50