Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexa Grasso v Maycee Barber

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexa Grasso (Local)

Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%37.69%37.75%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.6042.55%39.86%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maycee Barber (Visit)

Prediction 62.28%1.61fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.31%62.25%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5767.11%65.26%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexa Grasso (Local): 37.72%; Maycee Barber (Visit): 62.28%. For Alexa Grasso (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.94%E -0.746%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 20:28
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.94%E -0.746%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 00:37
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.94%E -0.746%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.94%E -0.746%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 12:54
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.69%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 00:49
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.69%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:50
FanDuel🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:20
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 00:40
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 13:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 13:29
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 13:29
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 18:24
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:53
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:54
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:55
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 22:25
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.33%E -3.51%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 15:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 13:44
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 20:39
Bet Right🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:35
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 01:34
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.71I 36.90%NM 36.83%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.17%0.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-28 00:10
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-03-28 03:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-03-28 03:00
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-03-28 02:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28%7.1%2026-03-26 13:45