The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AJ McKee v Adam Borics

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 21:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AJ McKee (Local)

Prediction 78.92%1.27fair odd
EV -0.561%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.60%78.92%79.31%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.261.2683.33%80.75%79.37%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adam Borics (Visit)

Prediction 21.08%4.74fair odd
EV +0.131%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.08%20.69%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.033.704.7527.03%24.82%27.03%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AJ McKee (Local): 78.92%; Adam Borics (Visit): 21.08%. For Adam Borics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.131%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.41%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.131%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.30%E -4.41%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.03%E -0.659%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:14
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.41%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.41%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.25%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -0.561%E -0.445%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -22.00%E -5.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -0.561%E -0.445%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -22.00%E -5.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:04
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -0.561%E -0.445%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -22.00%E -5.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -0.561%E -0.445%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -22.00%E -5.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -0.561%E -0.445%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -22.00%E -5.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -0.561%E -0.445%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -22.00%E -5.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:04
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -0.561%E -0.445%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -22.00%E -5.95%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.