The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Aieza Bertolso v Camila Reynoso

Kickoff: 2026-09-29 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aieza Bertolso (Local)

Prediction 81.75%1.22fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -19.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.21%81.94%81.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.171.1890.09%86.06%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Camila Reynoso (Visit)

Prediction 18.25%5.48fair odd
EV +4.92%
Edge +0.855%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%18.06%18.25%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.235.105.245.7523.64%19.60%19.08%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aieza Bertolso (Local): 81.75%; Camila Reynoso (Visit): 18.25%. For Camila Reynoso (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +4.92%E +0.855%K +1.03%G +0.051%4.3%2026-09-29 23:01
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.35%E -3.72%K -25.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.30%E -0.622%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.35%E -3.72%K -25.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-29 16:29
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.35%E -3.72%K -25.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-29 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.35%E -3.72%K -25.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-29 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.59%EV -3.53%E -2.99%K -19.61%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.41%EV -4.57%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-29 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.53%E -2.99%K -19.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 17:00
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.35%E -3.72%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -13.33%E -2.81%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 17:00
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.21%EV -9.25%E -8.34%K -84.12%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 20.79%EV -22.82%E -5.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-29 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-09-29 23:10
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%4.0%2026-09-29 23:00