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Aieza Bertolso v Camila Reynoso

2026-09-29 23:40 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aieza Bertolso (Local)

Prediction 77.43%1.29fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -12.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.35%77.43%77.43%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.221.211.2582.64%82.08%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Camila Reynoso (Visit)

Prediction 22.57%4.43fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.347%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.57%22.57%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.334.074.204.5030.03%24.56%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aieza Bertolso (Local): 77.43%; Camila Reynoso (Visit): 22.57%. For Camila Reynoso (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.53%E -4.54%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.56%E +0.347%K +0.446%G +0.007%4.2%2026-09-28 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.31%E -5.21%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 17:05
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.31%E -5.21%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.31%E -5.21%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.21%E -2.57%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.72%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 16:25
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.35%EV -6.31%E -5.21%K -30.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.65%EV -24.84%E -7.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-28 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.25I 80.00%NM 80.13%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.87%-0.2%2026-09-28 19:29
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%2.5%2026-09-28 19:30