Language:English
Abusupyian Magomedov v Michal Oleksiejczuk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Abusupyian Magomedov (Local)
Prediction 47.47%2.11fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.53%47.84%47.47%51.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.002.012.0855.56%50.06%49.63%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michal Oleksiejczuk (Visit)
Prediction 52.53%1.90fair odd
EV +0.329%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.362%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.91%52.16%52.53%53.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.821.801.9156.82%55.08%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abusupyian Magomedov (Local): 47.47%; Michal Oleksiejczuk (Visit): 52.53%. For Michal Oleksiejczuk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.329%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.329%E +0.172%K +0.362%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -14.55%E -8.08%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -1.25%E -0.663%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.82%E -1.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -2.82%E -1.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 05:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.87%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.58%E -2.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.87%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.87%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 16:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.87%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.87%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.33%E -4.88%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.87%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 11:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 15:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 07:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -1.26%E -0.605%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-27 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.63%E -1.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 16:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:08 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 16:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.45%E -3.03%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 15:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.06%E -2.53%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.50%E -3.65%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.43%E -3.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.55%E -4.29%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | -0.0% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 0.3% | 2026-06-27 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16% | 2.0% | 2026-06-27 16:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.94% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.5% | 2026-06-27 14:18 |