The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Abraham Bably v Rob Wilkinson

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 02:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abraham Bably (Local)

Prediction 61.83%1.62fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%61.83%61.86%64.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.501.531.5668.97%66.52%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rob Wilkinson (Visit)

Prediction 38.17%2.62fair odd
EV +0.375%
Edge +0.142%
Kelly +0.230%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.54%38.17%38.14%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.552.532.6340.82%39.18%39.53%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abraham Bably (Local): 61.83%; Rob Wilkinson (Visit): 38.17%. For Rob Wilkinson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.375%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -9.72%E -6.66%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +0.375%E +0.142%K +0.230%G +0.001%6.5%2026-06-26 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV +0.375%E +0.142%K +0.230%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-26 12:09
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV +0.375%E +0.142%K +0.230%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-26 12:19
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV +0.375%E +0.142%K +0.230%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-27 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.44%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-28 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.82%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 19:49
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 12:49
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 12:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.