Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev v Julius Walker

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 15:15 UTC

Final: Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev 1–0 Julius Walker

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev (Local)

Prediction 82.58%1.21fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -19.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%82.70%82.71%85.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1790.09%86.78%86.58%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Julius Walker (Visit)

Prediction 17.42%5.74fair odd
EV +14.99%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.401%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.40%17.30%17.29%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.535.406.6021.74%18.09%18.52%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev (Local): 82.58%; Julius Walker (Visit): 17.42%. For Julius Walker (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.74. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.99%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.34%E -7.51%K -75.82%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.99%E +2.27%K +2.68%G +0.401%5.2%2026-06-27 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -8.34%E -7.51%K -75.82%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +14.99%E +2.27%K +2.68%G +0.401%5.2%2026-06-27 15:09
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.48%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV +9.07%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.156%2.9%2026-06-27 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.54%E +0.757%K +0.908%G +0.041%4.4%2026-06-27 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.69%E -5.92%K -51.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.54%E +0.757%K +0.908%G +0.041%5.2%2026-06-27 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.80%E +0.474%K +0.571%G +0.016%4.7%2026-06-27 14:49
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +1.93%E +0.329%K +0.397%G +0.008%4.1%2026-06-27 15:08
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +0.184%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-27 14:29
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.184%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.17%E -0.758%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 21:09
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.17%E -0.758%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 20:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.17%E -0.758%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.17%E -0.758%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 12:30
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.17%E -0.758%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.17%E -0.758%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:19
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:19
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 11:59
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 12:19
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.91%E -1.10%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 14:40
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -7.66%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 16:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.53%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 14:50
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.53%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.53%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 14:50
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.53%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 13:00
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.53%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 13:00
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -11.14%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.88%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:49
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -19.85%E -4.32%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 85.68%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.32%-0.2%2026-06-27 15:09
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-06-27 15:09
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-06-27 14:50
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-06-27 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-06-27 15:00
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%1.5%2026-06-27 15:10
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-06-27 15:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.17%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.82%9.6%2026-06-27 15:07