Language:English
Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev v Brendson Ribeiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev (Local)
Prediction 89.17%1.12fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +11.77%
Growth +0.194%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%88.42%89.37%91.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.081.071.1498.04%92.66%93.46%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brendson Ribeiro (Visit)
Prediction 10.83%9.23fair odd
EV +19.18%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.368%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.49%11.58%10.63%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.877.4511.0018.18%12.71%13.42%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev (Local): 89.17%; Brendson Ribeiro (Visit): 10.83%. For Brendson Ribeiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.18%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.18%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.368% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +19.18%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.368% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +19.18%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.368% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +19.18%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.368% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.67%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.42%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.33%EV +11.60%E +1.13%K +1.25%G +0.145% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.93%E +0.309%K +0.345%G +0.010% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.72%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.27%G +0.000% | 9.43I 10.60%NM 10.28%EV +2.17%E +0.230%K +0.258%G +0.006% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 01:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -272.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -2.49%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.21%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.79%EV -4.11%E -0.465%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.32%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.32%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 01:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.07%EV -6.38%E -6.07%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -16.03%E -2.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 01:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.74%E -2.50%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -19.82%E -2.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.90%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.62%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -23.07%E -3.25%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.92%E -1.74%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.16%E -3.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.92%E -1.74%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.16%E -3.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.92%E -1.74%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.16%E -3.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.92%E -1.74%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.16%E -3.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.92%E -1.74%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.16%E -3.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -1.03%E -0.925%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -29.57%E -4.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -1.92%E -1.74%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -29.57%E -4.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -2.81%E -2.58%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -29.57%E -4.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -2.81%E -2.58%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -29.57%E -4.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -3.70%E -3.43%K -46.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -30.66%E -4.79%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -0.135%E -0.121%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -32.28%E -5.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.20%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.42%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.80%EV -33.91%E -5.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -0.135%E -0.121%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -34.99%E -5.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -0.135%E -0.121%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -34.99%E -5.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.03%E -0.925%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -34.99%E -5.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -1.92%E -1.74%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -34.99%E -5.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -1.03%E -0.925%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -39.32%E -7.02%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +1.65%E +1.45%K +11.77%G +0.194% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -40.41%E -7.35%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 91.07% | 11.22I 8.91%NM 8.93% | -0.2% | 2026-04-05 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 01:43 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 01:47 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 01:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 01:47 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 78.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 21.98% | 28.2% | 2026-04-05 01:48 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.30% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 01:25 |