The School of Odds

Philadelphia Waterdogs v Utah Archers

2026-07-18 20:30 UTC — PLL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Waterdogs (Local)

Prediction 52.12%1.92fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -6.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%52.12%52.00%52.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.811.801.8256%55%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Utah Archers (Visit)

Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.64%47.88%48.00%48.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.951.971.952.0051%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.83%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 19:48
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 19:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.19%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 20:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%6.9%2026-07-15 19:54