New York Atlas v Utah Archers

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Atlas (Local)

Prediction 52.82%1.89fair odd

EV -3.34%

Edge -1.82%

Kelly -4.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.22%52.77%52.74%53.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.771.791.801.8356%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Utah Archers (Visit)

Prediction 47.18%2.12fair odd

EV -4.70%

Edge -2.33%

Kelly -4.61%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.95%47.23%47.26%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.002.002.0250%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.34%E -1.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-01 19:49
FanDuel	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.39%E -2.43%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-30 16:59
theScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 21:30
BetRivers	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-01 17:40
Unibet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-01 17:40
Bally Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-01 17:40
DraftKings	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.51%E -3.68%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-06 11:15
Caesars	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.51%E -3.68%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-06 22:41
BetOnline.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.51%E -3.68%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.64%E -2.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-07 23:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%	8.2%	2026-07-06 01:05