The School of Odds

New York Atlas v Philadelphia Waterdogs

2026-07-25 02:35 UTC — PLL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Atlas (Local)

Prediction 46.60%2.15fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%46.60%46.60%46.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.042.042.042.0449%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Waterdogs (Visit)

Prediction 53.40%1.87fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.40%53.40%53.40%53.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.781.781.781.7856%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%96.1%2026-07-21 10:50